Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 16.985909 19.342547 22.025311 25.330587 29.328093 34.051581 40.123056
2025-07-27 13.556017 16.391271 19.895662 24.626324 30.974476 39.395046 51.761538
2025-08-03 12.142253 15.309158 19.459172 25.452481 34.165641 46.856333 67.751237
2025-08-10 10.765620 13.986887 18.391472 25.081705 35.428855 51.674614 81.131267
2025-08-17 9.714292 12.932928 17.490570 24.713462 36.497323 56.279774 95.519313
2025-08-24 8.920080 12.130017 16.816830 24.531453 37.747276 61.376581 112.561664
2025-08-31 8.152475 11.275967 15.950797 23.888770 38.054390 64.790980 127.445103
2025-09-07 7.589732 10.668110 15.385668 23.641450 38.980843 69.563165 147.396950
2025-09-14 6.925903 9.845836 14.395988 22.532435 38.099831 70.424594 158.072949
2025-09-21 6.330695 9.084538 13.436014 21.359572 36.902541 70.332283 166.229450
2025-09-28 5.907990 8.565180 12.828444 20.748534 36.724207 72.487335 182.063038
2025-10-05 6.085953 9.020330 13.887045 23.337150 43.635127 93.493289 272.905921
2025-10-12 5.920943 8.911728 13.988765 24.163709 47.046694 107.354562 354.571719
2025-10-19 5.547929 8.426841 13.382310 23.504920 46.921849 111.434820 399.686319
2025-10-26 5.410472 8.332853 13.471064 24.281101 50.421784 127.772324 527.822520
2025-11-02 5.137685 7.983281 13.055285 23.932761 51.019121 135.152884 618.512796
2025-11-09 4.889295 7.660299 12.662743 23.586690 51.560246 142.656067 725.345704
2025-11-16 4.682429 7.398136 12.365101 23.415603 52.551856 152.343111 872.438588
2025-11-23 4.442848 7.062695 11.900196 22.811278 52.212083 156.839436 987.916933
2025-11-30 4.262156 6.824437 11.609161 22.578632 52.919000 166.072146 1182.930711
2025-12-07 4.008437 6.438865 11.000281 21.534822 51.019683 163.383312 1234.736564
2025-12-14 3.764416 6.060897 10.386582 20.429824 48.782510 158.553167 1252.622649
2025-12-21 3.589690 5.804512 10.004682 19.853682 48.111488 160.849326 1386.189854